the smallest sunspot cycle in over 100 years
NASA“the smallest sunspot cycle in over 100 years”已经持续N报，注意鉴别媒体信息，7月1日报告如下：The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 69 in June of 2013. We are currently over two and a half years into Cycle 24. Three consecutive months with average daily sunspot numbers above 40 has raised the predicted maximum above the 64.2 for the Cycle 14 maximum in 1907. The predicted size would make this the smallest sunspot cycle in over 100 years.
—— NASAUpdated 2011/07/01
Cycle 24 Sunspot Number Prediction (July 2011)
Year Mon95% 50% 5%
1997 119.5 9.4 0.0
1997 221.810.9 0.0
1997 324.512.7 0.9
1997 427.414.7 2.1
1997 530.516.9 3.4
1997 633.919.4 4.9
1997 737.622.1 6.6
1997 841.424.9 8.4
1997 945.327.910.5
19971049.431.012.7
19971153.634.315.0
19971258.037.717.4
1998 162.341.220.0
1998 266.844.722.6
1998 371.248.325.4
1998 475.751.928.1
1998 580.155.530.9
1998 684.659.233.8
1998 788.962.836.6
1998 893.266.439.5
1998 997.569.942.3
199810 101.673.445.1
199811 105.776.847.8
199812 109.680.150.5
1999 1 113.483.353.2
1999 2 117.186.455.7
1999 3 120.689.458.2
1999 4 124.092.360.6
1999 5 127.295.062.8
1999 6 130.297.665.0
1999 7 133.1 100.167.1
1999 8 135.8 102.469.0
1999 9 138.3 104.670.8
199910 140.7 106.672.5
199911 142.8 108.574.1
199912 144.8 110.275.5
2000 1 146.6 111.776.8
2000 2 148.2 113.178.0
2000 3 149.6 114.379.0
2000 4 150.8 115.479.9
2000 5 151.9 116.380.7
2000 6 152.7 117.081.3
2000 7 153.4 117.681.8
2000 8 153.9 118.182.2
2000 9 154.2 118.382.4
200010 154.4 118.482.5
200011 154.3 118.482.5
200012 154.1 118.282.4
2001 1 153.8 117.982.1
2001 2 153.2 117.581.7
2001 3 152.5 116.981.2
2001 4 151.7 116.180.6
2001 5 150.7 115.379.9
2001 6 149.6 114.379.0
2001 7 148.3 113.278.1
2001 8 146.9 112.077.1
2001 9 145.4 110.776.0
200110 143.8 109.374.8
200111 142.0 107.873.5
200112 140.2 106.272.2
2002 1 138.2 104.570.7
2002 2 136.2 102.769.3
2002 3 134.0 100.967.7
2002 4 131.899.066.1
2002 5 129.597.064.5
2002 6 127.195.062.8
2002 7 124.792.961.1
2002 8 122.290.859.3
2002 9 119.788.657.5
200210 117.186.455.7
200211 114.584.253.9
200212 111.881.952.1
2003 1 109.179.750.2
2003 2 106.477.448.4
2003 3 103.775.146.5
2003 4 101.072.844.7
2003 598.270.542.8
2003 695.568.241.0
2003 792.866.039.2
2003 890.163.737.4
2003 987.361.535.6
20031084.759.333.8
20031182.057.132.1
20031279.354.930.4
2004 176.752.828.8
2004 274.250.727.2
2004 371.648.625.6
2004 469.146.624.1
2004 566.644.622.6
2004 664.242.721.1
2004 761.940.819.7
2004 859.538.918.3
2004 957.337.117.0
20041055.035.415.8
20041152.933.714.5
20041250.732.113.4
2005 148.730.512.3
2005 246.728.911.2
2005 344.727.410.2
2005 442.826.0 9.2
2005 541.024.6 8.2
2005 639.223.3 7.4
2005 737.522.0 6.5
2005 835.820.8 5.7
2005 934.219.6 5.0
20051032.718.5 4.3
20051131.217.4 3.6
20051229.716.4 3.0
2006 128.315.4 2.4
2006 227.014.4 1.9
2006 325.713.5 1.4
2006 424.412.7 0.9
2006 523.311.9 0.5
2006 622.111.1 0.1
2006 721.010.4 0.0
2006 820.0 9.7 0.0
2006 919.0 9.1 0.0
20061018.0 8.4 0.0
20061117.1 7.9 0.0
20061216.2 7.3 0.0
2007 115.4 6.8 0.0
2007 214.6 6.3 0.0
2007 313.8 5.9 0.0
2007 413.1 5.4 0.0
2007 512.4 5.0 0.0
2007 611.8 4.7 0.0
2007 711.2 4.3 0.0
2007 810.6 4.0 0.0
2007 910.0 3.7 0.0
200710 9.5 3.4 0.0
200711 8.9 3.1 0.0
200712 8.5 2.9 0.0
2008 1 8.0 2.6 0.0
2008 2 7.6 2.4 0.0
2008 3 7.2 2.2 0.0
2008 4 6.8 2.0 0.0
2008 5 6.4 1.9 0.0
2008 6 6.0 1.7 0.0
2008 7 5.7 1.6 0.0
2008 8 5.4 1.4 0.0
2008 9 5.1 1.3 0.0
200810 4.8 1.2 0.0
200811 4.7 1.1 0.0
200812 4.6 1.1 0.0
2009 1 4.8 1.2 0.0
2009 2 5.2 1.3 0.0
2009 3 5.8 1.6 0.0
2009 4 6.6 2.0 0.0
2009 5 7.6 2.4 0.0
2009 6 8.8 3.1 0.0
2009 710.3 3.8 0.0
2009 811.8 4.7 0.0
2009 913.6 5.7 0.0
20091015.5 6.9 0.0
20091117.6 8.1 0.0
20091219.7 9.5 0.0
2010 122.011.1 0.1
2010 224.412.7 0.9
2010 326.914.4 1.9
2010 429.516.2 2.9
2010 532.218.1 4.1
2010 634.820.1 5.3
2010 737.622.1 6.6
2010 840.324.1 7.9
2010 943.126.2 9.3
20101045.928.310.8
20101148.730.512.3
20101251.532.613.8
2011 154.234.715.3
2011 256.936.916.8
2011 359.539.018.4
2011 462.141.019.9
2011 564.743.021.4
2011 667.245.022.9
2011 769.647.024.3
2011 871.948.825.8
2011 974.150.627.2
20111076.352.428.5
20111178.354.129.8
20111280.355.731.0
2012 182.157.232.2
2012 283.958.633.3
2012 385.560.034.4
2012 487.161.235.4
2012 588.562.436.3
2012 689.863.537.2
2012 791.064.538.0
2012 892.165.438.7
2012 993.166.239.4
20121093.966.939.9
20121194.767.640.4
20121295.368.140.9
2013 195.868.541.2
2013 296.368.941.5
2013 396.669.141.7
2013 496.869.341.8
2013 596.969.441.9
2013 696.869.441.9
2013 796.769.341.8
2013 896.569.141.7
2013 996.268.841.5
20131095.868.541.2
20131195.368.140.9
20131294.767.640.5
2014 194.167.140.0
2014 293.366.439.5
2014 392.565.739.0
2014 491.665.038.4
2014 590.664.237.7
2014 689.663.337.1
2014 788.562.436.3
2014 887.361.435.6
2014 986.060.434.8
20141084.859.333.9
20141183.458.233.1
20141282.057.132.2
2015 180.655.931.3
2015 279.154.730.3
2015 377.653.529.4
2015 476.152.328.4
2015 574.551.027.4
2015 673.049.726.4
2015 771.348.425.4
2015 869.747.124.4
2015 968.145.823.4
20151066.444.422.4
20151164.843.121.4
20151263.141.820.4
2016 161.440.419.4
2016 259.739.118.5
2016 358.137.817.5
2016 456.436.516.6
2016 554.835.215.6
2016 653.133.914.7
2016 751.532.613.8
2016 849.931.412.9
2016 948.330.212.0
20161046.729.011.2
20161145.227.810.4
20161243.626.6 9.6
2017 142.125.5 8.8
2017 240.724.4 8.1
2017 339.223.3 7.4
2017 437.822.2 6.7
2017 536.421.2 6.0
2017 635.020.2 5.4
2017 733.719.2 4.8
2017 832.418.3 4.2
2017 931.117.4 3.6
20171029.916.5 3.1
20171128.715.7 2.6
20171227.514.8 2.1
2018 126.414.0 1.7
2018 225.313.3 1.3
2018 324.312.6 0.9
2018 423.211.9 0.5
2018 522.211.2 0.1
2018 621.310.5 0.0
2018 720.3 9.9 0.0
2018 819.4 9.3 0.0
2018 918.6 8.8 0.0
20181017.7 8.2 0.0
20181116.9 7.7 0.0
20181216.1 7.2 0.0
2019 115.4 6.8 0.0
2019 214.7 6.4 0.0
2019 314.0 5.9 0.0
2019 413.3 5.5 0.0
2019 512.7 5.2 0.0
2019 612.1 4.8 0.0
2019 711.5 4.5 0.0
2019 810.9 4.2 0.0
2019 910.4 3.9 0.0
201910 9.9 3.6 0.0
201911 9.4 3.4 0.0
201912 8.9 3.1 0.0
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